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Beyond the Heatwave: building more adaptable supply chains

Posted on Monday 21 September 2026

With much of England in drought according to the National Drought Group at times during the summer, the soaring temperatures of the summer’s heatwaves caused widespread disruption from travel delays to stretched public services. But a less obvious impact has been the mounting strain extreme weather such as this is placing on supply chains, says Tim Moylan, chief growth officer, Infios.

With much of England in drought according to the National Drought Group at times during the summer, the soaring temperatures of the summer’s heatwaves caused widespread disruption from travel delays to stretched public services. But a less obvious impact has been the mounting strain extreme weather such as this is placing on supply chains, says Tim Moylan, chief growth officer, Infios.

FOR WAREHOUSE and logistics teams, the consequences can be significant. Stock may not reach where it is needed, deliveries can fall behind schedule, and the disruption quickly tests whether an organisation can respond effectively to sudden change.

A heatwave can set off a series of knock-on effects across the supply chain. Consumer purchasing patterns can change almost overnight, with demand rising for products such as bottled water, soft drinks, ice cream, fans and other summer essentials. For warehouse teams, that can mean reprioritising orders, reallocating labour and moving inventory closer to the locations where demand is accelerating.

Extreme heat can also affect the capacity of the operation itself. Working patterns may need to be adapted, while warehouse equipment and infrastructure can face additional pressure. The World Health Organisation and World Meteorological Organisation estimate that productivity can fall by 2–3% for every degree rise above 20°C in Wet-Bulb Globe Temperature, a measure of heat stress. For facilities operating against demanding fulfilment targets, even a relatively modest reduction in productivity can have a considerable impact.

The challenge extends beyond the warehouse. High temperatures can place additional stress on road and rail infrastructure, contribute to vehicle downtime and make transport schedules harder to predict. For businesses moving temperature-sensitive products, the consequences can be particularly serious. Food, beverages and pharmaceuticals all depend on cold-chain processes maintaining precise conditions across storage, handling and transportation, regardless of what is happening outside.

And because supply chains are interconnected, a problem in one area rarely stays there. A vehicle arriving late can disrupt a warehouse schedule; lower warehouse productivity can delay outbound orders; and limited cold-storage capacity can leave stock in the wrong place just as demand reaches its peak.

The Wider Role of the Warehouses – From Storage to Strategic Flexibility

For decades, supply chains have largely been built around the assumption that conditions would remain relatively predictable. Inventory could be positioned according to established demand patterns, warehouse processes optimised for efficiency and transport planned against familiar schedules.

That assumption is becoming harder to maintain. More volatile weather in the UK, alongside labour constraints, changing consumer behaviour, geopolitical uncertainty and other sources of disruption, means warehouse operations increasingly need to be prepared for multiple scenarios rather than a single expected outcome.

This changes the role of the warehouse. Rather than simply providing a place to hold inventory, the warehouse is becoming an important control point within the wider supply chain – one where organisations can make decisions that influence how quickly and effectively the network responds to change.

The ability to reprioritise orders, reposition inventory, adjust labour and coordinate transport in response to changing conditions can therefore become a genuine competitive differentiator. Infios research found that 79% of supply chain leaders believe competitive advantage now depends on the ability to execute quickly and dynamically.

From Seeing Disruption to Staying Ahead of It

Many organisations have made significant progress in improving supply chain visibility. Inventory levels, warehouse activity, order status and transportation movements can increasingly be monitored in near real time.

But visibility is only the starting point. Knowing that productivity is falling, transport capacity is becoming constrained or cold-chain resources are under pressure does not, by itself, solve the problem. The real value comes from being able to translate those signals into timely decisions and coordinated action.

This is where Intelligent Supply Chain Execution comes in. By combining real-time operational data with automation and artificial intelligence, organisations can move beyond simply identifying disruption to anticipating its potential impact and determining how best to respond.

During a period of extreme heat, for example, AI-enabled execution could identify emerging changes in demand, suggest new fulfilment priorities, recommend where inventory should be repositioned, flag temperature-sensitive stock at risk and help identify alternative transport options before delays escalate.

That shift is particularly important given how much supply chain activity still depends on manual intervention. According to Infios research, 58% of supply chain leaders identify manual workflows as a significant source of inefficiency, while just 6% currently use AI to enable automated, prescriptive responses.

The goal, therefore, is not simply to give supply chain teams more information. It is to give them the intelligence and tools to turn that information into coordinated action.

Building Supply Chains That Bend Not Break

Modern supply chains face disruption from far more than the multiple heatwaves of this summer. The ability to manage extreme weather is the same capability needed to navigate workforce shortages, shifting consumer demand, supplier issues and geopolitical instability.

The strongest organisations will not wait for disruption to hit before responding. They will identify emerging risks early, make confident decisions at speed and align warehouse, transport and inventory operations before service levels suffer.

While no business can influence the weather, it can create a supply chain with the agility and preparedness to perform when conditions change.

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